Analysis‎ > ‎12.10.2011‎ > ‎

U.S. Needs Controlled CSTO

According to the mass media, one of the talented American officers and functionaries, Mark Grossman, is currently in Uzbekistan, and he is allegedly trying to convince the government of this country to leave the CSTO. Of course, the very formulation of the task is quite ordered, and no doubt it is made public by the wish of the Uzbek authorities but in fact it means that the Americans are preparing the “ground” for the new scheme of their presence, after the statement on the withdrawal of its troops from Afghanistan.

There is ample evidence that the U.S. is trying to implement a non-expensive scheme of basing and deployment of logistics routes from the Black Sea to the Chinese border. The United States understands, like Russia, that it misplayed in Central Asia which has been absorbed by China quite convincingly. Even if the Americans succeed in building a new and more diversified scheme of deployment of their military objects in the region, Central Asia inexorably becomes China’s raw pantry and the countries of the region have gladly accepted China’s initiatives.

The question occurs whether the U.S. is interested in the mineral resources of the Central Asia at all. The Americans are not interested directly but they are interested in control over other superpowers and first of all China. One way or another, Central Asia is acquiring more geopolitical significance which, for its part, displaces the geo-economy. Rather, the U.S. will launch the new geo-strategy which will directly touch the South Caucasus. But at the same time, they do not want to spend too much.

Afghanistan, with its horrors and huge costs, should not be repeated. Therefore, the U.S. needs partners, and certainly not those who themselves need security guarantees but those who are able to conduct a policy of ensuring stability in the region, and most importantly, the containment of China. In the western direction, this problem can be solved only by Russia which leads the CSTO. The CSTO has meaning for the Americans, which helps them solve their geo-strategic objectives. But apparently, first it is necessary to undermine the CSTO, and then try to impose certain rules of relationships on the Member States of this bloc. Hence, the United States is interested in the CSTO but only in a controlled form. It should be noted that during the clashes in Kirgizstan, the Americans tried twice to persuade Russia to intervene in these events but Russia gave up the idea for obvious reasons.

It is time to format Central Asia, and this issue requires constant analysis and comment. Marc Grossman is familiar with the Near East, and particularly with Turkey. Pakistan is an issue that requires more than an intelligent functionary, and he will certainly try to include in the scope of his activities a wider region. In any case, during his tenure as Assistant Secretary of State (in the “neoconservative” Bush administration), in the South Caucasus and other regions of inland Eurasia, the U.S. policy has been more than adequate, and the situation in the region was more stable and predictable.

Recently, Marc Grossman, has not been in the administration, and worked in a law office. It is quite clear that this administration is more in need of functionaries of another type. Visits to the South Caucasus by G. Steinberg, F. Gordon also demonstrated the flaws in the foreign political team of the U.S. administration. Everything returns to the already developed policy and geopolitics.


Source: Lragir.am, 12 October 2011
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